Indian Point

Buchanan, NY – April 30, 2022 marks the one-year anniversary of New York’s premature closure of the Indian Point nuclear power plant. For years, the Cuomo administration and anti-nuclear groups demanded that New York’s largest source of reliable carbon-free energy be shuttered, claiming its electricity would be replaced by gains in renewable energy and efficiency. Real-time data collected by the electricity regulator, New York Independent Systems Operator (NYISO), tells a very different story. Closing 80% of downstate New York’s emissions-free power source has caused the downstate grid to be taken over by fossil fuels.

Sources: NYISO Oasis, Gold Book 2019, 2021, PV Watts. The fossil share of New York’s electricity generation rose from 38% for the year before Indian Point closure to 49% for the year after.

The minuscule gain in rooftop solar generation from 2019 to 2021 was overshadowed by a decline in hydropower. New York has added no wind capacity 2014-2019 and wind-based generation is at 2014 levels. Fossil combustion increased both in-state (black columns) and out-of-state (red columns) to replace Indian Point’s carbon-free electricity generation of 16.7 terawatt-hours per year.

Source: NYISO Gold Book 2022, PDF page 112, labeled 108
Source: NYISO Gold Book 2022, PDF page 113, labeled 109

New York boasted the “most ambitious” climate goals of all states when unveiling the Climate Leadership and Community Protection Act (CLCPA) in 2019. The CLCPA’s goals include making electricity generation 100% carbon-free by 2040. However, since the CLCPA became law, annual greenhouse gas emissions of New York’s electric sector have increased by 12-15 million CO2 equivalent metric tons, nearly a third.

Two massive fossil combustion plants, Cricket Valley Energy Center and CPV Valley Energy Center, came online to take the place of Indian Point’s steady, 2,080 MW power, as forewarned by NYISO. To this day, CPV’s plant operates without proper emissions permits.

“It’s perplexing, indeed, disturbing that a plant of the magnitude of CPV is operating without a Title V Clean Air Act permit.” said Wawayanda resident Madeline Shaw of Protect Orange County, a group opposing their community from becoming a ‘sacrifice zone.’ “Meanwhile residents around the plant have experienced a significant increase in health impacts associated with exposure to air pollution, such as asthma, COPD, and other respiratory ailments. While some have left the area, many such victims cannot leave the new environmental justice community created by this plant.”

Air-pollution-free nuclear energy runs off cheap uranium and skilled labor, the largest component of its costs. Indian Point provided high-paying, largely unionized jobs for 1,000 women and men. These multi-generational jobs and tax revenues enabled a vibrant, healthy, and prosperous community. In contrast, the new fossil plants employ about 51 people in total.

“We oppose taking zero-carbon nuclear power facilities offline. Shutting down Indian Point had devastating, long-term consequences to the state’s power supply and the economy that are irreversible. Thousands of union jobs were lost and not replaced. We cannot make this mistake again,” said James Shillitto, President of the Utility Workers Union of America Local 1-2. “As the state looks to the future, we urge a balanced approach to meet our carbon reduction commitments while delivering affordable electricity, bolstering infrastructure, improving grid reliability, and creating New York jobs that support families and communities.”

New York’s Climate Action Council recently completed a Draft Scoping Plan on how the state should comply with the CLCPA. Extending the life of New York’s remaining nuclear plants to 80 years benefits New Yorkers to the tune of $9 billion. Based on this estimate, shutting Indian Point robbed New Yorkers over $16 billion.

Energy investor and climate advocate Isuru Seneviratne of Radiant Value Management said “Switching from nuclear energy to gas only makes sense if you ignore environmental and health externalities. And now gas prices are up by over 50%, as a result New York burns $600 million in fracked gas annually in lieu of Indian Point.”

Source: NYISO
Source: EIA

Central Hudson, the utility serving much of the mid-Hudson region, pointed to the increased global gas demand and Indian Point closure when alerting its consumers that electric bills will be 46% higher. Dr. Dietmar Detering of Nuclear New York: “We knew that pollution would go up with the loss of Indian Point. However, this winter the 1,100 MW Cricket Valley Energy Center barely generated any electricity at all. Generation had to shift to out-of-state and inner-city power plants—when rates were already high from elevated gas prices. The result: Record high electricity prices in the Capital region and downstate. Shutting down Indian Point truly was a lose-lose decision for climate, communities, and ratepayers, though some generators certainly made a lot of money this winter!”

“New York is serving itself a one-two punch of energy insecurity in winter,” said Meredith Angwin, the author of the bestselling book ‘Shorting the Grid.’ “New York is replacing Indian Point with power plants that depend on just-in-time imported gas. Gas for power production is in high demand and tight supply in winter because home heating needs have first priority on the gas. The risk of gas supply disruption is greatest on the coldest days. And the recently approved Champlain Hudson Power Express project also fails to guarantee electricity for New York in winter. When it is really cold, supplier Hydro Quebec reserves all its electricity for Quebecoise customers. For energy security, New York needs to increase its energy independence from imported gas and imported electricity. But New York is doing just the opposite.”

Said Dr. James E. Hansen, climate scientist and former director of NASA’s Goddard Institute, “Tackling the climate crisis requires policies based on facts, not prejudice. Wind and solar power help with early decarbonization, where they can replace fossil fuels without need for large storage and transmission upgrades. However, systems overly dependent on intermittent, low-energy-density renewables—as California and Germany have proven—lead to skyrocketing electric rates, grid instability, and continued dependence on fossil fuels.”

We urge New York to learn the right lessons from the wanton loss of Indian Point. Nuclear energy provides well-paying jobs, steady tax revenues, stable communities, and ample amounts of reliable electricity for a prosperous society. Carbon-free nuclear power means energy security, clean air, and environmental justice.

Download Press Release



Magnitude

Source: NYISO Power Trends 2020, Gold Book 2020
Sources: IP2 Press Release, NYISO Gold Book 2020

Closure of Indian Point threatens the reliability of the electric grid serving downstate New York, leading to higher power costs and potential energy shortages. New York City is at extremely elevated risk to emergencies, as observed by NYISO (2021-2030 Comprehensive Reliability Plan):

Air Pollution Impacts

Burning fossil fuels also generates other harmful pollutants, like particulate matter. Fine particulates – especially those with a diameter smaller than 2.5 microns (PM2.5) – are particularly dangerous to the human respiratory system, as they deplete lung capacity.

The closure of the Indian Point Energy Center, a significant source of clean energy for New York City, requires New York City customers to rely more heavily on the aging, heavily polluting in-City fossil generation fleet. This increased reliance has the potential to negatively impact local air quality, thereby exacerbating public health issues that already exist in disadvantaged communities in and around New York City, such as high incidences of asthma and other respiratory ailments.

New York City’s filings in the NYS Clean Energy Standard docket (15-E-0302)
Cricket Valley’s annualized generation is 6.2 TWh, making it the largest fossil plant. CPV Energy’s Valley is the 3rd largest. Neither would exist were Indian Point allowed to operate. Sources: NYISO Gold Books 2020 and 2021

Expanding renewables & nuclear generation to displace fossil-fired electricity would decrease deaths in NYC, but ramping up fossil-fired generation does the opposite. This is the human cost of fear. Regulated nuclear power is the safest source of energy worldwide, and the Indian Point generators operated safely for 54 years. Risks of an extremely low-probability nuclear accident need to be balanced against documented health effects associated with outdoor air pollution, including to respiratory illnesses like Covid-19.

How many African American children should suffer from asthma in order to marginally improve the level of fish egg mortality in the Hudson River?

African American Environmentalist Organization

The agreement between New York State, Entergy (the plant’s former owner), and Riverkeeper (a local antinuclear group) to close Indian Point was signed in early 2017 without public notice or participation. Despite former Governor Cuomo’s assurance at the time that replacement power will have “no new carbon emissions,” reality has proven otherwise.

Low-Carbon Alternatives

Due to the Indian Point closure, 9 out of 10 electrons consumed in Downstate New York is from fossil combustion. Transmission bottlenecks limit emission-free electricity from reaching Downstate New York.

Opposition to transmission projects limits upstate wind power from reaching population-dense, renewable-starved downstate NY, where solar and wind provide only 2% of electricity. The proposed transmission lines would bring hydro from Quebec and wind from upstate New York, however their combined output does not come close to that of Indian Point. Electricity from wind projects offshore Long Island will not even start to service NYC until 2028, and federal barriers have caused years of delay. However, these carbon-free generation could have been used to displace fossil generation rather than make up for lost ground.

Indian Point closure ensured New York’s Great Leap Backward in-terms of both GHG emissions and public safety, for no rational or scientifically supportable reason. This is antithetical to combating climate change and is in direct opposition to NY’s stated policy of reducing its carbon footprint.

Notes

Combined Cycle Gas Turbines generate 758-932 gCO2-eq/kWh at 2.3%-3.5% methane leak rates. Displacing 16.3 TWh of nuclear generation (12 gCO2-eq/kWh) with gas-fired electricity increases annual GWP20 emissions by 12.2-15.0 million tonnes (Mt) CO2e. Methane is a 84x-worse pollutant than CO2 over a 20-year time horizon (GWP20). New York’s CLCPA defined CO2 equivalencies for other greenhouse gases over 20 years, a time-frame appropriate for addressing the urgency of climate change.

New York denied the Zero Emissions Credits for Indian Point, which allowed upstate nuclear plants to compete with shale economics.